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Africa Presidential election South Africa

Trump’s deal-making and Africa critical minerals may benefit continent 

President Donald Trump with African leaders in 2018. (Source: Brookings)

The re-election of Donald Trump would not necessarily be detrimental for Africa, according to a former senior South African diplomat. Dr Kingsley Makhubela, the former South African Chief of Protocol, stated that despite derogatory remarks—Trump referred to African countries as “shithole countries”—“we’ve never seen a policy position that raised concern about how he deals with Africa.”

Makhubela argued that Trump’s directness and focus on negotiation could potentially benefit African nations. Africa’s critical minerals, he said, could be used as strategic bargaining tools in international relations, especially as global powers like the U.S. and China compete for access. He told National Security News in an interview: “The fact that Africans have better access to strategic minerals is going to work in the interest of Africa.”

Dr Kingsley Makhubela

His remarks come amid mounting concerns about the potential impact of Trump’s re-election on the African continent, and particularly for South Africa. For South Africa, its continued participation in the AGOA agreement, which provides duty-free access to the US market, hangs in the balance after lawmakers called for a review of US relations with South Africa due to its “history with malign actors.”

The appointment of vocal critics of South Africa’s non-alignment movement to top US diplomatic posts has also raised concern. In one of his first cabinet picks, Trump appointed Congresswoman Elise Stefanik, a Republican from New York, as his Ambassador to the US. Stefanik is a staunch ally of Israel and signed a bipartisan letter to outgoing Secretary of State Antony Blinken earlier this year, expressing lawmakers’ “disgust” at South Africa’s case against Israel at the International Court of Justice in The Hague.

Dr Makhubela noted that Trump, when considering his track record, has never spoken about the possibility of ending South Africa’s participation in the AGOA agreement, which provides duty-free access to the US market. “During the four years that he was at the White House, there was never even a discussion of the possibility of AGOA being terminated. He’s never made such a statement. The possibility of termination actually came from the Biden administration,” he said.

The former diplomat suggests that a second presidency for Donald Trump could fundamentally transform conflict situations around the world and prevent a possible World War III. “There are two areas that have been really troubling the international community: the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the conflict between Israel and Palestine. But Donald Trump has made it clear during the campaign that as soon as he moves into the White House, he would like to stop both wars,” he said.

Linda van Tilburg is a seasoned journalist and producer with roots in both South Africa and the United Kingdom. She began her career as a senior political correspondent for the South African Broadcasting Corporation (SABC), where she covered the country’s historic transition from apartheid to democracy. Notably, she was one of the chief correspondents reporting on Nelson Mandela during this pivotal period. Since then, Linda has held various roles, including serving as a newscaster and London Correspondent at Jacarandafm, South Africa’s largest commercial radio station. She pursued a Master’s degree in Global Politics at the LSE and has worked as a political risk analyst for S&P Global (formerly IHS Markit). She has also written articles for News24 and Vrye Weekblad and as a producer for platforms such as Mission.org (US) and VCNewsDaily (US). Additionally, Linda served as a Newsletter Editor for a collaborative project between Facebook and the Sunday Times and is a regular contributor to Biznews.com.